Conab: grain production could reach 358.6 million tons
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Brazilian grain production is forecast to reach 358.6 million tons in the 2025/26 harvest.
Brazilian grain production is forecast to reach 358.6 million tons in the 2025/26 harvest. If the result is confirmed, Brazil will break a new record, with an increase of 1.8% compared to the previous harvest. The percentage corresponds to an increase of 6.4 million tons, compared to the 2024/25 cycle.
The forecast is contained in the 9th Survey of the 2025/26 Grain Harvest, released this Thursday (11) by the National Supply Company (Conab). According to the entity, it is due to the increase in the cultivated area, estimated at 83.5 million hectares, combined with favorable climatic conditions.
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As a result, the national average productivity should be 4,295 kilos per hectare.
Soy and corn
"Among the crops cultivated, soybeans stand out for showing an increase of 8.8 million tons in relation to the volume obtained in the previous harvest. With the harvest practically completed, production in the 2025/26 cycle is estimated at 180.3 million tons", detailed the Company.
The result, he adds, reflects the growth in the area destined for oilseeds, combined with the good technological package and favorable weather conditions in the current harvest.
The corn grown in the 2nd harvest has a total production estimate of 140.5 million tons, combining the three harvests.
The harvest of the first harvest covers 87.7% of the area, resulting in a total of 29.3 million tons to be harvested – an increase of 17.7% compared to the same period in the 2024/25 season.
“In addition to the largest area allocated to grain in the current cycle, productivity also increased by 7.6%, estimated at 7,110 kilos per hectare, establishing a new record in the Company's historical series in the first grain harvest,” informed Conab.
The harvest of the second crop is still in its initial phase. The expectation is that it will reach a total of 107.9 million tons produced. As for the third harvest, in the planting phase about to be concluded, a harvest of 3.3 million tons is expected.
Cotton
According to the survey, cotton lint production (second harvest) should be around 4 million tons. If confirmed, the projection represents a drop of 2.5% compared to the 2024/25 harvest. According to Conab, the result is due to the reduction in the sown area.
“In the case of sorghum, which records the fifth highest production among the grains analyzed by the Company, the harvest is estimated at 7.62 million tons, an increase of 1.5 million tons when compared to the volume obtained in the last harvest, representing an increase of 24.9%”, he added.
Rice and beans
With the harvest practically finished, rice should record a production of 11.1 million tons, which represents a reduction of 13.2% compared to the volume obtained in the previous harvest.
“The drop is a reflection of a smaller area allocated for cultivation given the market conditions of the cereal”, explained Conab.
A drop in bean production is also projected. Conab estimates a total of 3 million tons to be harvested at the end of the three grain harvests – a volume that represents a “slight drop of 0.5% in relation to the result obtained last season”.
According to Conab, supply to the domestic market is guaranteed, even with the expectation of lower production for both foods.
Wheat
The area destined for wheat production should show a drop in production, since the area destined for planting will be smaller than that of the previous harvest. Currently, this crop covers only 45.3% of the total planned area.
Expectations are that, at the end of the cycle, around 6.3 million tons of cereal will be produced.
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